The Omicron type of coronavirus disease might cause three billion infections worldwide in the next two months, according to a research estimate. That’s the same number of infections as in the first two years of the pandemic.
According to a report released on Thursday by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), an independent global health research center at the University of Washington, peak transmissions could occur in mid-January, with over 35 million infections recorded in a single day around the world.
According to the research, this is three times the high in April, which was caused by the Delta type of coronavirus. It also stated that the Omicron version’s infection-hospitalization rate is projected to be 90-96 percent lower than that of the Delta variant. So far, the infection-fatality rate has been lower than with the prior strain.
According to the IHME, raising mask use to 80% will have a significant impact on cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. “More fast and widespread distribution of third vaccine doses will also lower the burden of hospitalization and death.” The unvaccinated and those who have never been sick are the most vulnerable, according to the findings.
Given the quick spread of the variation, which was first found in South Africa last month, offices and schools would have to rethink their testing and quarantine policies, according to the article.
“In the future, tracking hospitalizations rather than reported instances will be a more meaningful indicator for local action,” according to the paper.
The IHME, on the other hand, stated that the severity of Omicron remains unknown. More data was previously needed to understand the severity of the variation and how it was influenced by vaccination and pre-existing immunity, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).
Omicron has been found in over 100 countries so far. As the number of cases rises around the world, particularly in the United States and the United Kingdom, the WHO has warned that healthcare systems in many countries may be swiftly overwhelmed.
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